Buffered Autoregressive Models With Conditional Heteroscedasticity: An Application to Exchange Rates
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
risk reduction of portfolio based on generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity model in tehran stock exchange
return maximization or risk minimization is goal in portfolio optimization based on mean variance theory. the structure of correlation matrices and individual variance of each asset are two main factors in optimization with risk minimization object. it’s necessary to use appropriate variance and correlation coefficient for time series with clustering volatilities feature, too. in this research,...
متن کاملNoncausal Autoregressive Model in Application to Bitcoin/USD Exchange Rates
This paper introduces a noncausal autoregressive process with Cauchy errors in application to the exchange rates of the Bitcoin electronic currency against the US Dollar. The dynamics of the daily Bitcoin/USD exchange rate series displays episodes of local trends, which can be modelled and interpreted as speculative bubbles. The bubbles may result from the speculative component in the on-line t...
متن کاملConditional Heteroscedasticity and Garch Models
a for forecasting purposes arises from the fact that this conditional mean is allowed to be a random varible which depends on the available data, and evolves with time. The conditional variance, however, is r simply var [x e x ] = var [ε ] =σ , which remains constant regardless of the given data. Thus, the linea t t −1 t ε AR (1) model fails to adequately describe the conditional variance. In p...
متن کاملSpeech spectral modeling and enhancement based on autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity models
In this paper, we develop and evaluate speech enhancement algorithms, which are based on supergaussian generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (GARCH) models in the short-time Fourier transform (STFT) domain. We consider three different statistical models, two fidelity criteria, and two approaches for the estimation of the variances of the STFT coefficients. The statistical mo...
متن کاملForecasting Conditional Correlation for Exchange Rates using Multivariate GARCH models with Historical Value-at-Risk application
The generalization from the univariate volatility model into a multivariate approach opens up a variety of modeling possibilities. This study aims to examine the performance of the two multivariate GARCH models BEKK and DCC, applied on ten years exchange rates data. Estimations and forecasts of the covariance matrix are made for the EUR/SEK and USD/SEK, whereby the forecasts are used in a pract...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Journal of Business & Economic Statistics
سال: 2017
ISSN: 0735-0015,1537-2707
DOI: 10.1080/07350015.2015.1123634